So when does a player want to play versus fold? If he folds, he loses the stake, which we call “one unit.” If he plays he will bet two units overall (Ante and the Play) but he will have the chance to win some of those. If the dealer does not meet the conditions, he will win back all three units again.
If the dealer fulfills the conditions and the player wins, he will win back four units. If the dealer fulfills the conditions and the player loses, he will win 0 units. So players must expect to win back at least one unit on average to make the overall loss 1 unit or less. This will make a fold better visit than LagaPoker.
This is what our computer program will look for. It starts with one of the player’s possible hands and simulates each of the dealer’s 18,424 possible hands. Remember, players must make a decision before seeing one of these dealers. So he folds for all 18,424 hands or he plays all. If he folded for all of them, he would lose 18,424 units. If he plays all of them, he will bet on 36,848 units overall.
The question is will he win back again at 18,424 with a net loss of less than 18,424 or maybe not? If so, then the hand must be played. If his net loss is more than 18,424, the better off he folds.
What if the player is given a pair of 3 and one juice? Our computer program shows us that if a player will win with the dealer qualification 8,567 times, the dealer does not qualify 5,224 times and he will move 3x. The scar is a loser.
When we do this, we get (8,567 x 4) + (5,224 x 3) + (3 x 2) = 49,946. Players will bet 36,848 units and win back nearly 50,000 for the net win.
The computer program will do this for 22,100 hands. What we get when we finish the job is if the player has an Ace High hand or better, that is the net champion for him over a long period of time. If the hand has a King’s Height, then it is a net loser, but the player will lose less by playing rather than folding.
The bad hand is Q-6-4. At this point, the player can expect to lose “only” around 18,300 units, which is slightly less than if he folded. In Q-6-3, it will lose around 18,471 units, both averaged and a better fold.
Computer has done all the hard work for us. This is how the tactics of the game on Q-6-4 or could be better made for Three Card Poker. The computer program counts all losing and winning units when playing all 407 million hands plus time using this tactic. This is how we know if the Ante / Play return for Three Card Poker is 97.98% when we enter the standard Ante bonus.